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Understanding Crypto's 4-Year Cycles (2024 re-share)
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Understanding Crypto's 4-Year Cycles (2024 re-share)

Why do we have crypto summer and crypto winter?

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A Fox
May 23, 2024
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Understanding Crypto's 4-Year Cycles (2024 re-share)
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TLDR:

  • Hype cycles exist in all emerging technologies, in Crypto these are exaggerated.

  • Crypto cycles follow Bitcoin’s regular 4-year halvings. Peak mania kicks in a few months after a Bitcoin halving and lasts approximately 1-2 years.

  • Every cycle has a new speculative focus: '12-'13 was Bitcoin forks, '16-'17 was ICOs, '20-'21 was NFTs, what will '24-'25 be?

  • The future is impossible to predict but it’s highly likely these cycles will persist, builders in the bear market will reap the fruits of their labour in the bull market.

As I continue my travels I will continue to re-share old posts. This week I’m sharing a post I wrote last year on “Understanding Crypto’s 4-year cycles”.

This post explains the standard 4-year cyclical patterns of crypto markets, which are incredibly important for anyone active in the market to understand.

At the end of that post I wrote “following historic patterns we’ll probably see another boom in '24-'25 after the halving of 2024” and we’re seeing that exact prediction come true, showing the regularity of this pattern.

I therefore highly recommend reading and sharing with anyone who’s not yet come across the market’s cyclical nature.

Please click through below to be taken to the original post.

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Understanding Crypto's 4-Year Cycles

A Fox
·
February 15, 2023
Understanding Crypto's 4-Year Cycles

TLDR: Hype cycles exist in all emerging technologies, in Crypto these are exaggerated. Crypto cycles follow Bitcoin’s regular 4-year halvings. Peak mania kicks in 6-12 months after a Bitcoin halving and lasts approximately 1-2 years. Every cycle has a new speculative focus: '12-'13 was Bitcoin forks, '16-'17 was ICOs, '20-'21 was NFTs, what will '24-'25 be?

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